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Comparison · Analytics
forecasting vs rmediation
A side-by-side editorial comparison of forecasting and rmediation — release velocity, themes, recent moves, and the top alternatives to consider.
Shared themes:cranr package
forecasting vs rmediation: at a glance
What is forecasting?
HIDDA.forecasting is a book chapter's reproducibility artifact, not a package under development.
HIDDA.forecasting accompanies a book chapter on forecasting infectious disease counts; its vignettes reproduce the results presented there using arima, prophet, glarma, hhh4contacts and scoringRules. The 1.0.0 release states this outright — it is the version used for the chapter, pinned to CRAN package versions as of July 2018. Every release since has been a vignette rebuild against newer R and dependency versions.
What is rmediation?
RMediation shipped a three-normal CDF, then found it was silently wrong.
RMediation is a long-standing CRAN package for confidence intervals on mediated effects, now built on an S7 class hierarchy. Over eight weeks it added ProductNormal3 for serial indirect effects of the form a1*a2*b, folded the engine into the existing pprodnormal naming family, and then replaced that engine outright after finding it returned wrong probabilities without warning. The dev branch is at 1.7.0; CRAN still serves 1.6.1.
forecasting vs rmediation: editorial side-by-side
forecasting
0.0ANALYTICS
HIDDA.forecasting is a book chapter's reproducibility artifact, not a package under development.
◆ Current state
HIDDA.forecasting accompanies a book chapter on forecasting infectious disease counts; its vignettes reproduce the results presented there using arima, prophet, glarma, hhh4contacts and scoringRules. The 1.0.0 release states this outright — it is the version used for the chapter, pinned to CRAN package versions as of July 2018. Every release since has been a vignette rebuild against newer R and dependency versions.
◆ Where it's heading
The release pattern is maintenance on an eight-year cadence dictated entirely by the surrounding ecosystem: 1.1.1 rebuilt under R 4.0.4, 1.1.2 under R 4.3.2, 1.1.3 under R 4.6.1, each reporting whether the numbers moved. They mostly have not — the recurring note is minor numerical differences confined to the prophet forecasts in vignette('CHILI_prophet'). The only substantive change in the visible history is 1.1.0's methodological tidy-up of the scoring comparisons.
◆ Prediction
Nothing in these entries points to new functionality; the next release is most likely another vignette rebuild whenever a dependency change or a CRAN check failure forces one.
rmediation
3.8ANALYTICS
RMediation shipped a three-normal CDF, then found it was silently wrong.
◆ Current state
RMediation is a long-standing CRAN package for confidence intervals on mediated effects, now built on an S7 class hierarchy. Over eight weeks it added ProductNormal3 for serial indirect effects of the form a1*a2*b, folded the engine into the existing pprodnormal naming family, and then replaced that engine outright after finding it returned wrong probabilities without warning. The dev branch is at 1.7.0; CRAN still serves 1.6.1.
◆ Where it's heading
The package is moving from a hand-rolled numerical layer to one that checks itself: the new default integrator escalates its node count until successive rules agree, warns when it hits the cap instead of returning a number, and exposes a diagnostics argument for the convergence estimate. The correctness fix went to dev ahead of the CRAN window rather than being held for it, which suggests wrong-answer bugs are treated as release-blocking regardless of cadence. Serial mediation is where the new surface area is concentrated.
◆ Prediction
1.7.0 exists specifically to land before CRAN's 2026-08-21 update window, so the next move is a CRAN submission promoting it to main; whether hcubature survives past that as a cross-check option is the open question.
Alternatives to forecasting and rmediation
Other Analytics products tracked by Sparkpulse, ranked by recent ship velocity. Each card links to a full editorial trajectory and lets you pivot into a head-to-head comparison with either forecasting or rmediation.
collinear
collinear has broken its API twice to stop making the user pick thresholds.
nert
nert put fourteen TERN datasets behind one dispatcher and called it stable.
scTypeEval
scTypeEval judges single-cell annotations without needing a ground truth to judge them against.
medrobust
medrobust made its partial-identification bounds usable by giving them confidence intervals.
probmed
probmed went from one probabilistic effect size to a family of them in sixteen days.
See all forecasting alternatives → · See all rmediation alternatives →
Recent activity from forecasting and rmediation
Latest ship moves from both products, interleaved chronologically. ⚡ = editorial spark.
- 8h agormediationv1.7.0 — pprodnormal3() correctness fix ⚡
- 1mo agoforecastingVignettes rebuilt under R 4.6.1
- 1mo agormediationp_prod3() renamed into the pprodnormal family
- 1mo agormediationProductNormal3: exact CDF for a product of three normals ⚡
- 1mo agormediationmedfit reaches CRAN; Remotes pointer dropped
- 2y agoforecastingVignettes rebuilt under R 4.3.2
- 5y agoforecastingVignettes rebuilt under R 4.0.4
- 7y agoforecastingStandard PIT and discretized log-normal scoring
- 7y agoforecastingThe version used for the book chapter, with pinned dependencies
Frequently asked questions
What is the difference between forecasting and rmediation?
Both compete on the same themes — cran, r package — within Analytics. rmediation is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 3.8 vs 0.0), with 1 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. See the at-a-glance table above for a side-by-side breakdown of velocity, recent sparks, and editorial themes.
Is forecasting better than rmediation?
Sparkpulse doesn't pick a winner — we score release velocity, not feature parity. rmediation is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 3.8 vs 0.0), with 1 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. For your specific use case, the alternatives sections above list other Analytics products to evaluate alongside.
What are the best alternatives to forecasting?
Top forecasting alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "forecasting alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/forecasting for the full list with editorial commentary on each.
What are the best alternatives to rmediation?
Top rmediation alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "rmediation alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/rmediation for the full list with editorial commentary on each.