mlr3proba
mlr3proba is shedding weight as its survival work moves into sibling packages
Comparison · Analytics
ggspatial vs probably
A side-by-side editorial comparison of ggspatial and probably — release velocity, themes, recent moves, and the top alternatives to consider.
ggspatial vs probably: at a glance
What is ggspatial?
ggspatial finishes its move off raster and onto terra
ggspatial puts spatial data into ggplot2. Its recent history is a single multi-year migration: terra support arrived alongside raster in 1.1.6, and by 1.1.10 terra is the default in the bundled data loaders while raster is described as deprecated. Everything between those two releases is ggplot2 compatibility patching.
What is probably?
The package that made calibration a step instead of an afterthought.
probably started as a small utility for class predictions and equivocal zones, and version 1.0.0 turned it into tidymodels' calibration and uncertainty package: cal_plot_*, cal_estimate_*, cal_validate_* and cal_apply across binary, multiclass and regression problems, plus conformal prediction intervals. Since then the work has been consolidation — a large internal refactor with no API change, split conformal and conformal quantile regression, bound_prediction(), and required_pkgs() and butcher methods so conformal objects can be deployed and stripped.
ggspatial vs probably: editorial side-by-side
ggspatial
0.0ANALYTICS
ggspatial finishes its move off raster and onto terra
◆ Current state
ggspatial puts spatial data into ggplot2. Its recent history is a single multi-year migration: terra support arrived alongside raster in 1.1.6, and by 1.1.10 terra is the default in the bundled data loaders while raster is described as deprecated. Everything between those two releases is ggplot2 compatibility patching.
◆ Where it's heading
The package tracks the R spatial stack's own generational shift rather than setting direction itself — sf and stars support, then terra, then preparing S3 methods for the next ggplot2. Feature work is rare; the value it delivers is staying current with the layers underneath it.
◆ Prediction
The likely next step is completing the ggplot2 S3 method preparation that 1.1.10 started, with raster support eventually dropped rather than maintained in parallel.
probably
0.0ANALYTICS
The package that made calibration a step instead of an afterthought.
◆ Current state
probably started as a small utility for class predictions and equivocal zones, and version 1.0.0 turned it into tidymodels' calibration and uncertainty package: cal_plot_*, cal_estimate_*, cal_validate_* and cal_apply across binary, multiclass and regression problems, plus conformal prediction intervals. Since then the work has been consolidation — a large internal refactor with no API change, split conformal and conformal quantile regression, bound_prediction(), and required_pkgs() and butcher methods so conformal objects can be deployed and stripped.
◆ Where it's heading
The recent releases are about making these objects survive leaving the session. butcher and required_pkgs() methods are what a model needs to be pinned, containerised and served, and their arrival alongside workflows adding a tailor postprocessing stage and vetiver adding probably support points the same way: calibration is being moved out of analysis scripts and into the deployed pipeline. The cal_*_none() reference implementations are the tell that calibration is now something people tune rather than apply once.
◆ Prediction
Expect the calibration functions to be reachable directly from a tuned workflow's postprocessing stage rather than applied to predictions afterwards, following the tailor integration that workflows just shipped.
Alternatives to ggspatial and probably
Other Analytics products tracked by Sparkpulse, ranked by recent ship velocity. Each card links to a full editorial trajectory and lets you pivot into a head-to-head comparison with either ggspatial or probably.
mlr3viz
mlr3viz keeps the ecosystem's plots working while the plots themselves move out
mlr3tuning
mlr3tuning is rebuilding its async machinery under a stable public surface
timetk
timetk swallowed anomalize whole, then went quiet for two years
modelbased
modelbased is turning marginal effects into a full contrast grammar
parameters
easystats' parameters package absorbs one more model class every few weeks
See all ggspatial alternatives → · See all probably alternatives →
Recent activity from ggspatial and probably
Latest ship moves from both products, interleaved chronologically. ⚡ = editorial spark.
- 10mo agoprobablyConformal objects gain required_pkgs() and butcher methods
- 11mo agoggspatialterra becomes the default raster backend
- 1y agoprobablyggplot2 test updates and a clearer validation-set error
- 1y agoprobablyCalibration internals refactored; isotonic bootstrap bug fixed
- 2y agoprobablyFix grouping sensitivity to variable type
- 2y agoggspatialExample fixes for the updated raster/terra stack
- 3y agoprobablySplit conformal and conformal quantile regression added
- 3y agoprobablyCalibration and conformal inference arrive in tidymodels ⚡
- 3y agoggspatialannotation_spatial() fix for the latest ggplot2
- 3y agoggspatialFix for behaviour deprecated in ggplot2
- 3y agoggspatialterra support, categorical rasters and better stars handling
- 8y agoggspatialPackage size and CRAN check time reduced
Frequently asked questions
What is the difference between ggspatial and probably?
They serve adjacent needs but don't currently overlap on shipped themes. ggspatial and probably are shipping at a similar cadence (velocity 0.0 vs 0.0, both within Sparkpulse's "active" band). See the at-a-glance table above for a side-by-side breakdown of velocity, recent sparks, and editorial themes.
Is ggspatial better than probably?
Sparkpulse doesn't pick a winner — we score release velocity, not feature parity. ggspatial and probably are shipping at a similar cadence (velocity 0.0 vs 0.0, both within Sparkpulse's "active" band). For your specific use case, the alternatives sections above list other Analytics products to evaluate alongside.
What are the best alternatives to ggspatial?
Top ggspatial alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "ggspatial alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/ggspatial for the full list with editorial commentary on each.
What are the best alternatives to probably?
Top probably alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "probably alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/probably for the full list with editorial commentary on each.