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Distributions.jl vs modeltime

A side-by-side editorial comparison of Distributions.jl and modeltime — release velocity, themes, recent moves, and the top alternatives to consider.

Distributions.jl vs modeltime: at a glance

FeatureDistributions.jlmodeltime
SectorAnalyticsAnalytics
Velocity score2.50.0
Sparks · 30d00
Top themesjulia, statistics, distributions, automatic-differentiationforecasting, conformal-prediction, tidymodels, parallelism
Last editorial update3h ago1h ago
WebsiteVisit →Visit →

What is Distributions.jl?

Julia's distribution library grinds forward one distribution at a time

Distributions.jl ships small, frequent releases against a large and settled API surface. Recent work splits between correctness fixes to individual distributions (LogitNormal formulas, Semicircle quantiles, Truncated Chernoff), incremental fitting support such as sufficient statistics and MLE for Chi and Chisq, and infrastructure moves like more consistent error types and global sparsity tracing through constructors.

Read the full Distributions.jl trajectory →

What is modeltime?

modeltime built conformal intervals in, then went quiet on features.

modeltime is at 1.3.3, a single change making the package robust to xgboost version shifts. The feature weight sits in 1.3.2, which added a future-based parallel backend, the maape() accuracy metric and dials helpers for ADAM engine tuning, and further back in the 1.2.8 and 1.3.0 pair that introduced conformal prediction intervals and then carried them through the nested forecasting workflow.

Read the full modeltime trajectory →

Distributions.jl vs modeltime: editorial side-by-side

D2.5

Julia's distribution library grinds forward one distribution at a time

◆ Current state

Distributions.jl ships small, frequent releases against a large and settled API surface. Recent work splits between correctness fixes to individual distributions (LogitNormal formulas, Semicircle quantiles, Truncated Chernoff), incremental fitting support such as sufficient statistics and MLE for Chi and Chisq, and infrastructure moves like more consistent error types and global sparsity tracing through constructors.

◆ Where it's heading

The arc is consolidation rather than expansion: dependencies are being pruned and internals made more predictable so the package composes cleanly with the rest of the Julia numerical stack. Support for sparsity tracing and looser MvNormal type aliases both point at making the library easier to drive from automatic-differentiation and optimization code.

◆ Prediction

Expect the same cadence of per-distribution fixes and fitting-method additions, with continued work on making constructors transparent to tracing and AD tooling. Nothing in these entries signals a major version or API break.

M
modeltime
ANALYTICS
0.0

modeltime built conformal intervals in, then went quiet on features.

◆ Current state

modeltime is at 1.3.3, a single change making the package robust to xgboost version shifts. The feature weight sits in 1.3.2, which added a future-based parallel backend, the maape() accuracy metric and dials helpers for ADAM engine tuning, and further back in the 1.2.8 and 1.3.0 pair that introduced conformal prediction intervals and then carried them through the nested forecasting workflow.

◆ Where it's heading

The arc runs from uncertainty quantification to execution. Conformal intervals arrived first and were then threaded through nested fitting, refitting and the printed forecast tables so users can see which confidence method produced an interval. The later work moves down a layer to how forecasts are computed — a portable future backend replacing foreach tuning — rather than what they express.

◆ Prediction

With only an xgboost compatibility fix since the 1.3.2 feature release, the entries do not support a confident prediction about what comes next beyond continued dependency maintenance.

Alternatives to Distributions.jl and modeltime

Other Analytics products tracked by Sparkpulse, ranked by recent ship velocity. Each card links to a full editorial trajectory and lets you pivot into a head-to-head comparison with either Distributions.jl or modeltime.

See all Distributions.jl alternatives → · See all modeltime alternatives →

Recent activity from Distributions.jl and modeltime

Latest ship moves from both products, interleaved chronologically. ⚡ = editorial spark.

  1. 16d agoDistributions.jlLogitNormal comment fix and doc typo cleanup
  2. 1mo agoDistributions.jlLooser MvNormal and MvNormalCanon type aliases
  3. 1mo agoDistributions.jlTruncated Chernoff quantile and sparsity tracing fixes
  4. 1mo agoDistributions.jlSparsity tracing works through distribution constructors
  5. 2mo agoDistributions.jlStatsFuns 2 upgrade and CI action bumps
  6. 3mo agoDistributions.jlSufficient statistics and MLE for Chi and Chisq
  7. 7mo agomodeltimeRobustness to xgboost version changes
  8. 11mo agomodeltimefuture parallel backend, maape() metric and ADAM tuning helpers
  9. 2y agomodeltimeConformal intervals reach the nested forecasting workflow
  10. 2y agomodeltimeConformal prediction intervals introduced
  11. 3y agomodeltimeFixes the Smooth es() model
  12. 3y agomodeltimeFixes failing developer-tools tests

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between Distributions.jl and modeltime?

They serve adjacent needs but don't currently overlap on shipped themes. Distributions.jl is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 2.5 vs 0.0), with 0 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. See the at-a-glance table above for a side-by-side breakdown of velocity, recent sparks, and editorial themes.

Is Distributions.jl better than modeltime?

Sparkpulse doesn't pick a winner — we score release velocity, not feature parity. Distributions.jl is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 2.5 vs 0.0), with 0 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. For your specific use case, the alternatives sections above list other Analytics products to evaluate alongside.

What are the best alternatives to Distributions.jl?

Top Distributions.jl alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "Distributions.jl alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/distributions-jl for the full list with editorial commentary on each.

What are the best alternatives to modeltime?

Top modeltime alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "modeltime alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/modeltime for the full list with editorial commentary on each.