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Comparison · Analytics
cmdstanpy vs modeltime
A side-by-side editorial comparison of cmdstanpy and modeltime — release velocity, themes, recent moves, and the top alternatives to consider.
cmdstanpy vs modeltime: at a glance
What is cmdstanpy?
CmdStanPy is clearing deprecations ahead of a 2.0 it keeps announcing.
CmdStanPy is at v1.3.0, which added a diagnose method on CmdStanModel, sampler timing information, create_inits() across the stanfit classes, and much faster MCMC CSV parsing. Every release in this window opens with the same notice: the next non-bugfix release will be 2.0 and will remove existing deprecations. In line with that, 1.3.0 drops Python 3.8 and renames the metric argument to inv_metric.
What is modeltime?
modeltime built conformal intervals in, then went quiet on features.
modeltime is at 1.3.3, a single change making the package robust to xgboost version shifts. The feature weight sits in 1.3.2, which added a future-based parallel backend, the maape() accuracy metric and dials helpers for ADAM engine tuning, and further back in the 1.2.8 and 1.3.0 pair that introduced conformal prediction intervals and then carried them through the nested forecasting workflow.
cmdstanpy vs modeltime: editorial side-by-side
cmdstanpy
0.0ANALYTICS
CmdStanPy is clearing deprecations ahead of a 2.0 it keeps announcing.
◆ Current state
CmdStanPy is at v1.3.0, which added a diagnose method on CmdStanModel, sampler timing information, create_inits() across the stanfit classes, and much faster MCMC CSV parsing. Every release in this window opens with the same notice: the next non-bugfix release will be 2.0 and will remove existing deprecations. In line with that, 1.3.0 drops Python 3.8 and renames the metric argument to inv_metric.
◆ Where it's heading
The package tracks upstream Stan and prepares for its own break. New inference methods arrive as Stan ships them — Laplace with Stan 2.32, Pathfinder with 2.33 — while the interface work is mostly deprecation staging and CSV input-output performance. The repeated 2.0 warning across two years of releases suggests the cut has been deferred more than once.
◆ Prediction
The notice at the top of every release points to 2.0 as the next non-bugfix version, removing the deprecations staged here including the metric argument.
modeltime
0.0ANALYTICS
modeltime built conformal intervals in, then went quiet on features.
◆ Current state
modeltime is at 1.3.3, a single change making the package robust to xgboost version shifts. The feature weight sits in 1.3.2, which added a future-based parallel backend, the maape() accuracy metric and dials helpers for ADAM engine tuning, and further back in the 1.2.8 and 1.3.0 pair that introduced conformal prediction intervals and then carried them through the nested forecasting workflow.
◆ Where it's heading
The arc runs from uncertainty quantification to execution. Conformal intervals arrived first and were then threaded through nested fitting, refitting and the printed forecast tables so users can see which confidence method produced an interval. The later work moves down a layer to how forecasts are computed — a portable future backend replacing foreach tuning — rather than what they express.
◆ Prediction
With only an xgboost compatibility fix since the 1.3.2 feature release, the entries do not support a confident prediction about what comes next beyond continued dependency maintenance.
Alternatives to cmdstanpy and modeltime
Other Analytics products tracked by Sparkpulse, ranked by recent ship velocity. Each card links to a full editorial trajectory and lets you pivot into a head-to-head comparison with either cmdstanpy or modeltime.
performance
performance keeps adding ways to check a model you have already fitted.
dowhy
DoWhy adds one estimation method a year and keeps its identification edge.
OpenHouse
OpenHouse is hardening the seams where table policies and jobs quietly fail.
silx
silx 3.0 moved its default Qt binding to PySide6 — a migration for everyone embedding it.
statsmodels
statsmodels ships only what the ecosystem breaks — six releases, no new statistics.
See all cmdstanpy alternatives → · See all modeltime alternatives →
Recent activity from cmdstanpy and modeltime
Latest ship moves from both products, interleaved chronologically. ⚡ = editorial spark.
- 7mo agomodeltimeRobustness to xgboost version changes
- 9mo agocmdstanpydiagnose method, sampler timings and faster CSV parsing
- 11mo agomodeltimefuture parallel backend, maape() metric and ADAM tuning helpers
- 2y agocmdstanpyFixes from_csv() for CmdStan 2.35 and later
- 2y agocmdstanpyCmdStan 2.35 test fixes and multi-chain profile output
- 2y agocmdstanpypyproject.toml build and pathfinder() argument fixes
- 2y agocmdstanpyNew Pathfinder arguments and warmup without adaptation
- 2y agomodeltimeConformal intervals reach the nested forecasting workflow
- 2y agocmdstanpyLaplace method and Pathfinder exposed from upstream Stan
- 2y agomodeltimeConformal prediction intervals introduced
- 3y agomodeltimeFixes the Smooth es() model
- 3y agomodeltimeFixes failing developer-tools tests
Frequently asked questions
What is the difference between cmdstanpy and modeltime?
They serve adjacent needs but don't currently overlap on shipped themes. cmdstanpy and modeltime are shipping at a similar cadence (velocity 0.0 vs 0.0, both within Sparkpulse's "active" band). See the at-a-glance table above for a side-by-side breakdown of velocity, recent sparks, and editorial themes.
Is cmdstanpy better than modeltime?
Sparkpulse doesn't pick a winner — we score release velocity, not feature parity. cmdstanpy and modeltime are shipping at a similar cadence (velocity 0.0 vs 0.0, both within Sparkpulse's "active" band). For your specific use case, the alternatives sections above list other Analytics products to evaluate alongside.
What are the best alternatives to cmdstanpy?
Top cmdstanpy alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "cmdstanpy alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/cmdstanpy for the full list with editorial commentary on each.
What are the best alternatives to modeltime?
Top modeltime alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "modeltime alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/modeltime for the full list with editorial commentary on each.