n2kanalysis
n2kanalysis has spent eight years wiring INLA models to an S3 bucket.
Comparison · Analytics
modeltime.ensemble vs mrbayes
A side-by-side editorial comparison of modeltime.ensemble and mrbayes — release velocity, themes, recent moves, and the top alternatives to consider.
modeltime.ensemble vs mrbayes: at a glance
What is modeltime.ensemble?
modeltime.ensemble wakes after four years, and the work is all tune 2.0 compatibility.
modeltime.ensemble builds average, weighted and stacked ensembles over modeltime forecast models. After a four-year gap it shipped twice in a fortnight during August and September 2025, both releases devoted to tracking breaking changes in tidymodels' tune package — new resampling column conventions, key uniqueness across resamples, recipe preparation. The tidyverse dependency was dropped in the same pass.
What is mrbayes?
mrbayes spent 2026 auditing its own Bayesian MR estimators for coding errors.
mrbayes wraps Stan and JAGS implementations of Bayesian Mendelian randomization estimators — IVW, MR-Egger, radial Egger, and their multivariable forms. Most of the visible history is packaging work: dependency trimming, conditional examples so the package installs where JAGS will not compile, a maintainer handover. The 0.5.3 release in July 2026 breaks that pattern with a dense list of fixes inside the model code itself.
modeltime.ensemble vs mrbayes: editorial side-by-side
modeltime.ensemble
0.0ANALYTICS
modeltime.ensemble wakes after four years, and the work is all tune 2.0 compatibility.
◆ Current state
modeltime.ensemble builds average, weighted and stacked ensembles over modeltime forecast models. After a four-year gap it shipped twice in a fortnight during August and September 2025, both releases devoted to tracking breaking changes in tidymodels' tune package — new resampling column conventions, key uniqueness across resamples, recipe preparation. The tidyverse dependency was dropped in the same pass.
◆ Where it's heading
This is a package whose forecasting capability was settled by 2021 — recursive ensembles, per-series calibration — and whose recent life is dictated entirely by upstream tidymodels churn. New contributors did that compatibility work, including one from the tidymodels side. It now requires tune 2.0.0 and modeltime.resample 0.3.0, pinning it to the current tidymodels generation rather than straddling versions.
◆ Prediction
Expect the next release to follow the next tune or modeltime.resample breaking change rather than to introduce new ensembling methods.
mrbayes
0.0ANALYTICS
mrbayes spent 2026 auditing its own Bayesian MR estimators for coding errors.
◆ Current state
mrbayes wraps Stan and JAGS implementations of Bayesian Mendelian randomization estimators — IVW, MR-Egger, radial Egger, and their multivariable forms. Most of the visible history is packaging work: dependency trimming, conditional examples so the package installs where JAGS will not compile, a maintainer handover. The 0.5.3 release in July 2026 breaks that pattern with a dense list of fixes inside the model code itself.
◆ Where it's heading
The package has moved from packaging upkeep into a correctness-audit phase. 0.5.3 fixes a hardcoded three-exposure loop in MVMR-Egger reporting, a broken joint-prior branch, a sigma parameterization error in radial Egger, and several prior specifications — the profile of a maintainer reading their own model files closely rather than responding to bug reports. Platform work continues underneath: an R 4.3.0 floor inherited through a transitive dependency chain, and segfault fixes on macOS ARM.
◆ Prediction
Expect further audit-driven patches to the remaining rjags and Stan model files rather than new estimators; the fixes in 0.5.3 cluster in the Egger variants, which suggests that is where the reading is still in progress.
Alternatives to modeltime.ensemble and mrbayes
Other Analytics products tracked by Sparkpulse, ranked by recent ship velocity. Each card links to a full editorial trajectory and lets you pivot into a head-to-head comparison with either modeltime.ensemble or mrbayes.
n1qn1c
A Fortran-descended optimizer got thread-safe, then found two flags that never worked.
ggstatsplot
ggstatsplot reached 1.0 by adding tests, having outsourced its statistics years ago.
collapse
collapse got a JSS paper and a 7x fmean speedup in the same release.
gtsummary
gtsummary is quietly rebuilding itself around analysis results data, one table verb at a time.
broadcast
broadcast is filling in NumPy-style array broadcasting for R, operator by operator.
See all modeltime.ensemble alternatives → · See all mrbayes alternatives →
Recent activity from modeltime.ensemble and mrbayes
Latest ship moves from both products, interleaved chronologically. ⚡ = editorial spark.
- 1mo agomrbayesEstimator audit fixes MVMR-Egger loops and radial Egger sigma
- 11mo agomodeltime.ensembleRealigned for tune 2.0.0 resampling changes
- 11mo agomodeltime.ensembleDrops the tidyverse dependency ahead of tune 2.0
- 1y agomrbayesMVMR rjags example gated on rjags being installed
- 1y agomrbayesExamples and tests skip when rstan or rjags is missing
- 1y agomrbayespkgdown site updated
- 1y agomrbayesHelper command added for installing JAGS
- 1y agomrbayesDependency surface trimmed; maintainer handover
- 5y agomodeltime.ensemblePer-series calibration IDs and parallel refitting
- 5y agomodeltime.ensembleRecursive ensembles for single and panel series ⚡
Frequently asked questions
What is the difference between modeltime.ensemble and mrbayes?
They serve adjacent needs but don't currently overlap on shipped themes. modeltime.ensemble and mrbayes are shipping at a similar cadence (velocity 0.0 vs 0.0, both within Sparkpulse's "active" band). See the at-a-glance table above for a side-by-side breakdown of velocity, recent sparks, and editorial themes.
Is modeltime.ensemble better than mrbayes?
Sparkpulse doesn't pick a winner — we score release velocity, not feature parity. modeltime.ensemble and mrbayes are shipping at a similar cadence (velocity 0.0 vs 0.0, both within Sparkpulse's "active" band). For your specific use case, the alternatives sections above list other Analytics products to evaluate alongside.
What are the best alternatives to modeltime.ensemble?
Top modeltime.ensemble alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "modeltime.ensemble alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/modeltime-ensemble for the full list with editorial commentary on each.
What are the best alternatives to mrbayes?
Top mrbayes alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "mrbayes alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/mrbayes for the full list with editorial commentary on each.