TidyDensity
A distribution catalogue that grows by one family at a time, and rarely breaks anything.
Comparison · Analytics
forecasting vs mev
A side-by-side editorial comparison of forecasting and mev — release velocity, themes, recent moves, and the top alternatives to consider.
forecasting vs mev: at a glance
What is forecasting?
HIDDA.forecasting is a book chapter's reproducibility artifact, not a package under development.
HIDDA.forecasting accompanies a book chapter on forecasting infectious disease counts; its vignettes reproduce the results presented there using arima, prophet, glarma, hhh4contacts and scoringRules. The 1.0.0 release states this outright — it is the version used for the chapter, pinned to CRAN package versions as of July 2018. Every release since has been a vignette rebuild against newer R and dependency versions.
What is mev?
An extreme-value toolkit reorganised its whole API into prefixed families and tripled its estimator count.
mev provides likelihood-based inference for univariate and multivariate extreme value models — threshold selection, shape estimation, tail dependence and max-stable simulation. Version 2.0 was a deliberate reorganisation: every threshold-selection routine now carries a thselect. prefix, every stability plot a tstab. prefix, and every extremal-dependence measure an xdep. prefix, with the old names deprecated but mostly still working. The same release added a large batch of estimators — Stein-weighted GPD, roughly a dozen shape estimators, second-order regular variation, L-moment GPD and Weissman quantiles.
forecasting vs mev: editorial side-by-side
forecasting
0.0ANALYTICS
HIDDA.forecasting is a book chapter's reproducibility artifact, not a package under development.
◆ Current state
HIDDA.forecasting accompanies a book chapter on forecasting infectious disease counts; its vignettes reproduce the results presented there using arima, prophet, glarma, hhh4contacts and scoringRules. The 1.0.0 release states this outright — it is the version used for the chapter, pinned to CRAN package versions as of July 2018. Every release since has been a vignette rebuild against newer R and dependency versions.
◆ Where it's heading
The release pattern is maintenance on an eight-year cadence dictated entirely by the surrounding ecosystem: 1.1.1 rebuilt under R 4.0.4, 1.1.2 under R 4.3.2, 1.1.3 under R 4.6.1, each reporting whether the numbers moved. They mostly have not — the recurring note is minor numerical differences confined to the prophet forecasts in vignette('CHILI_prophet'). The only substantive change in the visible history is 1.1.0's methodological tidy-up of the scoring comparisons.
◆ Prediction
Nothing in these entries points to new functionality; the next release is most likely another vignette rebuild whenever a dependency change or a CRAN check failure forces one.
mev
0.0ANALYTICS
An extreme-value toolkit reorganised its whole API into prefixed families and tripled its estimator count.
◆ Current state
mev provides likelihood-based inference for univariate and multivariate extreme value models — threshold selection, shape estimation, tail dependence and max-stable simulation. Version 2.0 was a deliberate reorganisation: every threshold-selection routine now carries a thselect. prefix, every stability plot a tstab. prefix, and every extremal-dependence measure an xdep. prefix, with the old names deprecated but mostly still working. The same release added a large batch of estimators — Stein-weighted GPD, roughly a dozen shape estimators, second-order regular variation, L-moment GPD and Weissman quantiles.
◆ Where it's heading
The package is consolidating into a reference implementation of the extreme-value literature rather than a collection of one-off routines. Sixteen threshold-selection methods now share standardised arguments and their own plot and print methods with automatic selection, which is the tell: the goal is comparability across methods, not just availability. Dependency reduction runs alongside, with distribution functions written in-package to drop evd and Rsolnp replacing nloptr in earlier releases.
◆ Prediction
Version 2.1 continued adding threshold-selection routines within the new naming scheme, so the next release most likely follows the same pattern — more estimators fitted to the established prefixes, plus fixes to the 2.0 renaming. The entries give no sign of a further structural change.
Alternatives to forecasting and mev
Other Analytics products tracked by Sparkpulse, ranked by recent ship velocity. Each card links to a full editorial trajectory and lets you pivot into a head-to-head comparison with either forecasting or mev.
cfbfastr
College football's open data client hit v2 — and now reports how many API calls you have left.
rnpn
The USA phenology data client rebuilt its entire stack and stopped handing users -9999 as a number.
GeneNMF
GeneNMF rebuilt how it derives meta-programs, changing every result it had produced.
rempsyc
Publication-ready psychology tables and plots, tracking APA style as closely as the software allows.
sdsfun
A spatial-statistics utility package exists to be depended on, and is built accordingly.
See all forecasting alternatives → · See all mev alternatives →
Recent activity from forecasting and mev
Latest ship moves from both products, interleaved chronologically. ⚡ = editorial spark.
- 1mo agoforecastingVignettes rebuilt under R 4.6.1
- 9mo agomevTwo more threshold-selection routines slot into the new scheme
- 9mo agomevThreshold, stability and dependence functions regrouped under prefixes ⚡
- 2y agomevBoundary-case likelihood fixes, bundled with the prior release's notes
- 2y agoforecastingVignettes rebuilt under R 4.3.2
- 3y agomevGEV and GP distribution functions brought in-house to drop evd
- 4y agomevFour max-stable families, fixed parameters and threshold diagnostics
- 5y agoforecastingVignettes rebuilt under R 4.0.4
- 7y agoforecastingStandard PIT and discretized log-normal scoring
- 7y agoforecastingThe version used for the book chapter, with pinned dependencies
Frequently asked questions
What is the difference between forecasting and mev?
They serve adjacent needs but don't currently overlap on shipped themes. forecasting and mev are shipping at a similar cadence (velocity 0.0 vs 0.0, both within Sparkpulse's "active" band). See the at-a-glance table above for a side-by-side breakdown of velocity, recent sparks, and editorial themes.
Is forecasting better than mev?
Sparkpulse doesn't pick a winner — we score release velocity, not feature parity. forecasting and mev are shipping at a similar cadence (velocity 0.0 vs 0.0, both within Sparkpulse's "active" band). For your specific use case, the alternatives sections above list other Analytics products to evaluate alongside.
What are the best alternatives to forecasting?
Top forecasting alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "forecasting alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/forecasting for the full list with editorial commentary on each.
What are the best alternatives to mev?
Top mev alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "mev alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/mev for the full list with editorial commentary on each.