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Comparison · Analytics
fable vs mlr3proba
A side-by-side editorial comparison of fable and mlr3proba — release velocity, themes, recent moves, and the top alternatives to consider.
fable vs mlr3proba: at a glance
What is fable?
fable keeps widening its model shelf, one econometric class at a time
fable is the tidyverts forecasting engine, and its releases are almost entirely about which model families it can express. The 0.4.x line added the vector-error-correction and VARIMA classes plus impulse-response methods; 0.5.0 adds fractional differencing via ARFIMA. Between those, the releases are CRAN-check patches and documentation passes.
What is mlr3proba?
mlr3proba is shedding weight as its survival work moves into sibling packages
mlr3proba provides probabilistic supervised learning for mlr3 — survival analysis, density estimation, and the measures that go with them. Recent releases are almost entirely upkeep: a distr6 fork to work around an upstream problem, an ooplah fix, a predict-type correction, and registration in mlr_reflections$loaded_packages. The one deletion is telling, with LearnerDensPenalized removed after pendensity left CRAN.
fable vs mlr3proba: editorial side-by-side
fable
0.0ANALYTICS
fable keeps widening its model shelf, one econometric class at a time
◆ Current state
fable is the tidyverts forecasting engine, and its releases are almost entirely about which model families it can express. The 0.4.x line added the vector-error-correction and VARIMA classes plus impulse-response methods; 0.5.0 adds fractional differencing via ARFIMA. Between those, the releases are CRAN-check patches and documentation passes.
◆ Where it's heading
The package is closing the gap with the older forecast package's model coverage while keeping the tidy model-specification grammar. Each substantive release is a new model class plus the generate()/IRF() plumbing to make it behave like the existing ones. Maintenance releases cluster around CRAN policy and ggplot2/tsibble compatibility rather than internal rewrites.
◆ Prediction
Expect the next substantive release to add another model class or extend generate()/IRF() coverage to the classes that still lack them, rather than change the modelling interface.
mlr3proba
0.0ANALYTICS
mlr3proba is shedding weight as its survival work moves into sibling packages
◆ Current state
mlr3proba provides probabilistic supervised learning for mlr3 — survival analysis, density estimation, and the measures that go with them. Recent releases are almost entirely upkeep: a distr6 fork to work around an upstream problem, an ooplah fix, a predict-type correction, and registration in mlr_reflections$loaded_packages. The one deletion is telling, with LearnerDensPenalized removed after pendensity left CRAN.
◆ Where it's heading
The package is being pared back rather than extended. Its README now points at survdistr and mlr3cmprsk as matured alternatives for parts of what it covers, which reads as scope being handed off, while the Cox proportional-hazards autoplot arrived from mlr3viz in the other direction. Several fixes exist to route around dependencies that broke or disappeared, which is the recurring cost of building on a long chain of specialized CRAN packages.
◆ Prediction
The dependency churn suggests more consolidation — further reliance on survdistr and mlr3cmprsk, and more learners retired when the package underneath them goes unmaintained.
Alternatives to fable and mlr3proba
Other Analytics products tracked by Sparkpulse, ranked by recent ship velocity. Each card links to a full editorial trajectory and lets you pivot into a head-to-head comparison with either fable or mlr3proba.
writexl
writexl spent nine years refusing to do formatting, then shipped all of it in 2.0.0.
rgbif
rgbif is steadily pushing users off paged searching and onto real downloads.
rstanarm
rstanarm is community-maintained now, tracking Stan and lme4 rather than adding models.
taxa
taxa started a ground-up rewrite in 2021 and has published almost nothing since.
rotl
rotl's whole release history is keeping name matching honest against a moving taxonomy.
See all fable alternatives → · See all mlr3proba alternatives →
Recent activity from fable and mlr3proba
Latest ship moves from both products, interleaved chronologically. ⚡ = editorial spark.
- 2mo agomlr3probamlr3proba 0.8.10 registers itself in the mlr3 loaded-packages registry
- 4mo agomlr3probamlr3proba 0.8.9 drops LearnerDensPenalized after pendensity left CRAN
- 5mo agomlr3probamlr3proba 0.8.8
- 5mo agomlr3probamlr3proba 0.8.7
- 6mo agofablefable adds ARFIMA and fractional differencing ⚡
- 9mo agomlr3probamlr3proba 0.8.5
- 10mo agomlr3probamlr3proba 0.8.4 takes over the Cox proportional-hazards autoplot
- 1y agofableIndexing and generate() fixes for VECM models
- 1y agofableVECM and VARIMA models land, plus IRF for VAR and ARIMA ⚡
- 2y agofablePatch for C++ R header changes
- 2y agofableCRAN check patch with generate() fixes
- 3y agofableTSLM forecasts gain Student's t intervals
Frequently asked questions
What is the difference between fable and mlr3proba?
They serve adjacent needs but don't currently overlap on shipped themes. fable and mlr3proba are shipping at a similar cadence (velocity 0.0 vs 0.0, both within Sparkpulse's "active" band). See the at-a-glance table above for a side-by-side breakdown of velocity, recent sparks, and editorial themes.
Is fable better than mlr3proba?
Sparkpulse doesn't pick a winner — we score release velocity, not feature parity. fable and mlr3proba are shipping at a similar cadence (velocity 0.0 vs 0.0, both within Sparkpulse's "active" band). For your specific use case, the alternatives sections above list other Analytics products to evaluate alongside.
What are the best alternatives to fable?
Top fable alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "fable alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/fable for the full list with editorial commentary on each.
What are the best alternatives to mlr3proba?
Top mlr3proba alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "mlr3proba alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/mlr3proba for the full list with editorial commentary on each.