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distributions3 vs superspreading

A side-by-side editorial comparison of distributions3 and superspreading — release velocity, themes, recent moves, and the top alternatives to consider.

distributions3 vs superspreading: at a glance

Featuredistributions3superspreading
SectorAnalyticsAnalytics
Velocity score6.30.0
Sparks · 30d10
Top themesr-package, probability-distributions, empirical-distributions, likelihood-inferenceepiverse-trace, superspreading, branching-process, pathogen-emergence
Last editorial update1h ago5d ago
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What is distributions3?

distributions3 0.3.0 adds sample-based distributions and likelihood derivatives

An R package giving probability distributions a consistent object interface - d/p/q/r functions, moments, and prodist() methods that pull a fitted distribution out of a regression object. Version 0.3.0 is the first substantive release under Achim Zeileis's maintenance, and it widens what a distribution is allowed to be: Empirical() represents a distribution by a random sample rather than by parameters, and numerical fallbacks now fill in cdf(), pdf(), quantile(), random() and the moments for any object that implements only some of them. New score() and hessian() generics compute first and second derivatives of the log-likelihood with respect to the parameters, analytically for a few distributions and numerically for the rest.

Read the full distributions3 trajectory →

What is superspreading?

superspreading now asks whether a pathogen will emerge at all, not just how unevenly it spreads.

superspreading quantifies individual-level variation in transmission — the offspring distributions and summary metrics behind the 20/80 rule — and calculates probabilities of epidemic, extinction and containment. With 0.4.0 it added probability_emergence(), estimating whether an introduced pathogen can evolve into sustained human-to-human transmission. The package moved from experimental to stable in the same release.

Read the full superspreading trajectory →

distributions3 vs superspreading: editorial side-by-side

D6.3

distributions3 0.3.0 adds sample-based distributions and likelihood derivatives

◆ Current state

An R package giving probability distributions a consistent object interface - d/p/q/r functions, moments, and prodist() methods that pull a fitted distribution out of a regression object. Version 0.3.0 is the first substantive release under Achim Zeileis's maintenance, and it widens what a distribution is allowed to be: Empirical() represents a distribution by a random sample rather than by parameters, and numerical fallbacks now fill in cdf(), pdf(), quantile(), random() and the moments for any object that implements only some of them. New score() and hessian() generics compute first and second derivatives of the log-likelihood with respect to the parameters, analytically for a few distributions and numerically for the rest.

◆ Where it's heading

Growth used to arrive as new distribution families contributed from outside - the extreme-value set, Erlang, later the Poisson binomial. This release changes the axis: alongside two new distributions it adds an inference layer (score, hessian) and a forecast-evaluation one (crps() methods against scoringRules), which are capabilities about distributions rather than more of them. Dependency weight is being cut at the same time, with ggplot2 demoted to Suggests and glue replaced by base R sprintf().

◆ Prediction

With numeric fallbacks and the derivative generics in place, expect analytic score() and hessian() methods to be filled in across more of the distribution catalogue. The constructor-default change is the likeliest source of follow-up fixes, since calls like Poisson() now return a length-zero distribution where they previously errored.

S0.0

superspreading now asks whether a pathogen will emerge at all, not just how unevenly it spreads.

◆ Current state

superspreading quantifies individual-level variation in transmission — the offspring distributions and summary metrics behind the 20/80 rule — and calculates probabilities of epidemic, extinction and containment. With 0.4.0 it added probability_emergence(), estimating whether an introduced pathogen can evolve into sustained human-to-human transmission. The package moved from experimental to stable in the same release.

◆ Where it's heading

Scope has widened one published framework at a time. 0.2.0 added network-based reproduction numbers, 0.3.0 added the Lloyd-Smith formulation of proportion_transmission() and vendored a branching-process simulator to drop the {bpmodels} dependency, and 0.4.0 implemented and extended the Antia et al. emergence model. Each addition brings a vignette reproducing the source paper's figures, which is how this package treats a method as delivered.

◆ Prediction

The established pattern — implement a published framework, extend it, document it against the original figures — makes another literature-derived addition likelier than internal refactoring.

Alternatives to distributions3 and superspreading

Other Analytics products tracked by Sparkpulse, ranked by recent ship velocity. Each card links to a full editorial trajectory and lets you pivot into a head-to-head comparison with either distributions3 or superspreading.

See all distributions3 alternatives → · See all superspreading alternatives →

Recent activity from distributions3 and superspreading

Latest ship moves from both products, interleaved chronologically. ⚡ = editorial spark.

  1. 1h agodistributions3Empirical distributions, plus score and hessian generics
  2. 28d agodistributions3Maintenance moves to Achim Zeileis; moment calculations corrected
  3. 10mo agodistributions3ggplot2 compatibility for the plotting functions
  4. 1y agosuperspreadingprobability_emergence() extends the package into pathogen emergence risk
  5. 1y agosuperspreadingLloyd-Smith transmission proportions; bpmodels dependency removed
  6. 1y agodistributions3Poisson binomial distribution, with a normal-approximation fallback
  7. 2y agosuperspreadingNetwork reproduction numbers and joint individual/population control
  8. 3y agosuperspreadingFirst release: offspring distributions and epidemic risk metrics
  9. 3y agodistributions3is_discrete and is_continuous generics, plus elementwise type-safety
  10. 4y agodistributions3Extreme-value family, Erlang, and a plotting generic

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between distributions3 and superspreading?

They serve adjacent needs but don't currently overlap on shipped themes. distributions3 is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 6.3 vs 0.0), with 1 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. See the at-a-glance table above for a side-by-side breakdown of velocity, recent sparks, and editorial themes.

Is distributions3 better than superspreading?

Sparkpulse doesn't pick a winner — we score release velocity, not feature parity. distributions3 is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 6.3 vs 0.0), with 1 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. For your specific use case, the alternatives sections above list other Analytics products to evaluate alongside.

What are the best alternatives to distributions3?

Top distributions3 alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "distributions3 alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/distributions3-r for the full list with editorial commentary on each.

What are the best alternatives to superspreading?

Top superspreading alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "superspreading alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/superspreading for the full list with editorial commentary on each.