rnaturalearth
rnaturalearth finished its sp exit and is now optimising how the data actually arrives.
Comparison · Analytics
modelbased vs posterior
A side-by-side editorial comparison of modelbased and posterior — release velocity, themes, recent moves, and the top alternatives to consider.
modelbased vs posterior: at a glance
What is modelbased?
modelbased is turning marginal effects into a full contrast grammar
modelbased computes marginal means, contrasts, and slopes from fitted models, and it ships every one to two months with a consistent shape: new comparison types, broader model support, and steady renaming toward clearer vocabulary. The recent arc runs from marginal effects inequality measures through inequality ratios to an omnibus global test and a post_process argument for multi-step comparisons. Argument names have been settled along the way, with trend becoming slope and an alias left behind.
What is posterior?
posterior keeps deepening two things: the rvar type and Pareto-based diagnostics.
The releases in this window advance on two fronts. The rvar random-variable type gained factor and ordered subtypes (1.4.0), rvar-indexed slicing and `rvar_ifelse()` (1.5.0), base `%*%` matrix multiplication and indexed variable names (1.6.0). Separately, Pareto diagnostics have grown from `pareto_smooth()` options and individual `pareto_khat()`-family functions (1.6.0) through `pit()` for draws and rvars (1.6.1) to exported generalized-Pareto functions and `pareto_pit` (1.7.0). 1.7.1 is a paperwork release for a JOSS submission.
modelbased vs posterior: editorial side-by-side
modelbased
0.0ANALYTICS
modelbased is turning marginal effects into a full contrast grammar
◆ Current state
modelbased computes marginal means, contrasts, and slopes from fitted models, and it ships every one to two months with a consistent shape: new comparison types, broader model support, and steady renaming toward clearer vocabulary. The recent arc runs from marginal effects inequality measures through inequality ratios to an omnibus global test and a post_process argument for multi-step comparisons. Argument names have been settled along the way, with trend becoming slope and an alias left behind.
◆ Where it's heading
The package is building a compositional vocabulary rather than a fixed menu — contrasts of average slopes, contrasts across two numeric predictors, inequality summaries across all outcome categories, and now user-supplied post-processing of comparisons. Support quietly widens underneath, covering nestedLogit, brms finite mixtures, and offsets under population and average estimation. Plotting gets attention in proportion to how often these results are presented rather than tabulated, including collapse_by_group() for showing averaged raw data under mixed-model fits.
◆ Prediction
With post_process and omnibus tests both landed, the likely next step is making these composed comparisons easier to report — formatting or plotting methods for the multi-step results rather than new comparison types.
posterior
0.0ANALYTICS
posterior keeps deepening two things: the rvar type and Pareto-based diagnostics.
◆ Current state
The releases in this window advance on two fronts. The rvar random-variable type gained factor and ordered subtypes (1.4.0), rvar-indexed slicing and `rvar_ifelse()` (1.5.0), base `%*%` matrix multiplication and indexed variable names (1.6.0). Separately, Pareto diagnostics have grown from `pareto_smooth()` options and individual `pareto_khat()`-family functions (1.6.0) through `pit()` for draws and rvars (1.6.1) to exported generalized-Pareto functions and `pareto_pit` (1.7.0). 1.7.1 is a paperwork release for a JOSS submission.
◆ Where it's heading
posterior is positioning itself as shared infrastructure rather than an end-user package: 1.7.0 explicitly exports generalized-Pareto machinery 'for use in other packages', and the JOSS paper is a citation vehicle for the same audience. The rvar work points the same way — a random-variable type other Bayesian packages can build on. Cadence is steady but unhurried, roughly one feature release a year.
◆ Prediction
More diagnostic functions are likely to be exported for downstream reuse, following the pattern 1.7.0 established with the generalized-Pareto helpers.
Alternatives to modelbased and posterior
Other Analytics products tracked by Sparkpulse, ranked by recent ship velocity. Each card links to a full editorial trajectory and lets you pivot into a head-to-head comparison with either modelbased or posterior.
writexl
writexl spent nine years refusing to do formatting, then shipped all of it in 2.0.0.
rgbif
rgbif is steadily pushing users off paged searching and onto real downloads.
rstanarm
rstanarm is community-maintained now, tracking Stan and lme4 rather than adding models.
taxa
taxa started a ground-up rewrite in 2021 and has published almost nothing since.
rotl
rotl's whole release history is keeping name matching honest against a moving taxonomy.
See all modelbased alternatives → · See all posterior alternatives →
Recent activity from modelbased and posterior
Latest ship moves from both products, interleaved chronologically. ⚡ = editorial spark.
- 1mo agomodelbasedmodelbased 0.16.0 adds post-processing and omnibus contrast tests
- 2mo agoposteriorposterior 1.7.1 released for JOSS paper
- 3mo agomodelbasedmodelbased 0.15.0 contrasts average slopes across numeric predictors
- 3mo agoposteriorposterior 1.7.0 exports generalized-Pareto functions
- 5mo agomodelbasedmodelbased 0.14.0 renames trend to slope and adds collapse_by_group()
- 8mo agomodelbasedmodelbased 0.13.1 adds marginal group-level estimates and as.data.frame()
- 10mo agoposteriorposterior 1.6.1 adds pit() for draws and rvars
- 11mo agomodelbasedmodelbased 0.13.0 adds inequality ratios and slope marginalization
- 1y agomodelbasedmodelbased 0.12.0 introduces marginal effects inequality measures
- 1y agoposteriorposterior 1.6.0 adds Pareto diagnostics and ESS-based thinning
- 2y agoposteriorposterior 1.5.0 adds nested-Rhat and rvar indexing
- 3y agoposteriorposterior 1.4.0 adds factor and ordered rvar subtypes
Frequently asked questions
What is the difference between modelbased and posterior?
They serve adjacent needs but don't currently overlap on shipped themes. modelbased and posterior are shipping at a similar cadence (velocity 0.0 vs 0.0, both within Sparkpulse's "active" band). See the at-a-glance table above for a side-by-side breakdown of velocity, recent sparks, and editorial themes.
Is modelbased better than posterior?
Sparkpulse doesn't pick a winner — we score release velocity, not feature parity. modelbased and posterior are shipping at a similar cadence (velocity 0.0 vs 0.0, both within Sparkpulse's "active" band). For your specific use case, the alternatives sections above list other Analytics products to evaluate alongside.
What are the best alternatives to modelbased?
Top modelbased alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "modelbased alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/modelbased for the full list with editorial commentary on each.
What are the best alternatives to posterior?
Top posterior alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "posterior alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/posterior for the full list with editorial commentary on each.