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hubEvals vs TrialEmulation

A side-by-side editorial comparison of hubEvals and TrialEmulation — release velocity, themes, recent moves, and the top alternatives to consider.

Shared themes:r-package

hubEvals vs TrialEmulation: at a glance

FeaturehubEvalsTrialEmulation
SectorAnalyticsAnalytics
Velocity score2.50.0
Sparks · 30d00
Top themesforecast-evaluation, scoring, epidemiology, r-packagecausal-inference, target-trial-emulation, duckdb, maintenance
Last editorial update1h ago42m ago
WebsiteVisit →Visit →

What is hubEvals?

Forecast-hub scoring that learned to handle joint, sample-based predictions.

hubEvals scores model output from collaborative forecasting hubs, wrapping scoringutils and translating hubverse formats into forecast objects it can evaluate. The package has moved quickly from a thin translation layer to something that handles every output type the hubverse defines — quantile, mean, median, nominal and ordinal pmf, and samples. The most recent releases are almost entirely about the failure modes of relative skill scoring rather than about new metrics.

Read the full hubEvals trajectory →

What is TrialEmulation?

Target trial emulation held steady by dependency maintenance, not new methods.

TrialEmulation implements target trial emulation from observational data, using duckdb to handle the expanded per-period datasets that approach generates. Every release in the visible window is upkeep: two consecutive releases removing the archived parglm dependency, two fixing tests against testthat updates, and two tracking duckdb sampling changes. No methodological work appears in the feed since before February 2025.

Read the full TrialEmulation trajectory →

hubEvals vs TrialEmulation: editorial side-by-side

H
hubEvals
ANALYTICS
2.5

Forecast-hub scoring that learned to handle joint, sample-based predictions.

◆ Current state

hubEvals scores model output from collaborative forecasting hubs, wrapping scoringutils and translating hubverse formats into forecast objects it can evaluate. The package has moved quickly from a thin translation layer to something that handles every output type the hubverse defines — quantile, mean, median, nominal and ordinal pmf, and samples. The most recent releases are almost entirely about the failure modes of relative skill scoring rather than about new metrics.

◆ Where it's heading

Two threads dominate. The first is coverage of output types, which reached its widest point with sample-based and compound scoring. The second, and the one occupying every recent release, is making relative skill degrade gracefully: single-model input, comparison groups with one model, and groups missing the requested baseline have each been converted from a cryptic upstream abort into a defined result. That pattern — inherited scoringutils errors being caught and given hub-specific meaning — is the clearest signal of where this package adds value.

◆ Prediction

Expect continued work smoothing scoringutils error surfaces into hub-aware behaviour, and performance attention on relative skill, which was explicitly optimised in the latest release.

T0.0

Target trial emulation held steady by dependency maintenance, not new methods.

◆ Current state

TrialEmulation implements target trial emulation from observational data, using duckdb to handle the expanded per-period datasets that approach generates. Every release in the visible window is upkeep: two consecutive releases removing the archived parglm dependency, two fixing tests against testthat updates, and two tracking duckdb sampling changes. No methodological work appears in the feed since before February 2025.

◆ Where it's heading

The package is being kept installable rather than extended. Its dependency surface, duckdb for storage, parglm for fitting, testthat for checks, generates most of the release traffic, and CRAN archiving parglm forced two separate releases three months apart to fully excise it. The version numbering, still in the 0.0.4.x range after years, suggests the maintainers do not consider the API settled enough to promote.

◆ Prediction

Further releases will most likely be triggered by upstream dependency changes; the entries give no signal on when methodological work resumes.

Alternatives to hubEvals and TrialEmulation

Other Analytics products tracked by Sparkpulse, ranked by recent ship velocity. Each card links to a full editorial trajectory and lets you pivot into a head-to-head comparison with either hubEvals or TrialEmulation.

See all hubEvals alternatives → · See all TrialEmulation alternatives →

Recent activity from hubEvals and TrialEmulation

Latest ship moves from both products, interleaved chronologically. ⚡ = editorial spark.

  1. 24d agohubEvalsScored-forecast counts and faster relative skill
  2. 1mo agohubEvalsDisaggregated relative skill no longer aborts the whole call
  3. 1mo agohubEvalsSingle-model scoring returns relative skill of 1 instead of erroring
  4. 4mo agoTrialEmulationDocumentation references to the archived parglm removed
  5. 5mo agohubEvalsSample output types and multivariate compound scoring
  6. 6mo agohubEvalsScoring on transformed scales via transform arguments
  7. 7mo agoTrialEmulationparglm dependency dropped after CRAN archiving
  8. 9mo agoTrialEmulationTest fixes for updated testthat, plus link updates
  9. 9mo agoTrialEmulationCompatibility fixes ahead of testthat 3.3.0
  10. 11mo agohubEvalsFirst release: score_model_out() and the scoringutils bridge
  11. 1y agoTrialEmulationTests updated for duckdb 1.3.0 sampling; R 4.1 now required
  12. 1y agoTrialEmulationTests updated for duckdb 1.2.0 sampling changes

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between hubEvals and TrialEmulation?

Both compete on the same themes — r-package — within Analytics. hubEvals is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 2.5 vs 0.0), with 0 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. See the at-a-glance table above for a side-by-side breakdown of velocity, recent sparks, and editorial themes.

Is hubEvals better than TrialEmulation?

Sparkpulse doesn't pick a winner — we score release velocity, not feature parity. hubEvals is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 2.5 vs 0.0), with 0 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. For your specific use case, the alternatives sections above list other Analytics products to evaluate alongside.

What are the best alternatives to hubEvals?

Top hubEvals alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "hubEvals alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/hubevals for the full list with editorial commentary on each.

What are the best alternatives to TrialEmulation?

Top TrialEmulation alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "TrialEmulation alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/trialemulation for the full list with editorial commentary on each.