mlr3proba
mlr3proba is shedding weight as its survival work moves into sibling packages
A side-by-side editorial comparison of Countly and modelbased — release velocity, themes, recent moves, and the top alternatives to consider.
Countly's LTS line is spending its releases on hardening the surfaces customers extend.
The 25.03 LTS and 24.05 branches are moving together, and the recent content is dominated by security and scoping work rather than features. The latest LTS rebuilds the api and frontend Docker images as multi-stage builds on Debian 13 with Node 24 so compilers and build tooling no longer ship, overrides fourteen vulnerable transitive dependencies, and replaces the unmaintained v8-sandbox behind custom code with isolated-vm. Earlier releases scoped internal event hooks to their own apps, fixed the consents table returning fields beyond the consent columns, and stopped dashboard widgets being copied by users without access to the referenced apps.
modelbased is turning marginal effects into a full contrast grammar
modelbased computes marginal means, contrasts, and slopes from fitted models, and it ships every one to two months with a consistent shape: new comparison types, broader model support, and steady renaming toward clearer vocabulary. The recent arc runs from marginal effects inequality measures through inequality ratios to an omnibus global test and a post_process argument for multi-step comparisons. Argument names have been settled along the way, with trend becoming slope and an alias left behind.
The 25.03 LTS and 24.05 branches are moving together, and the recent content is dominated by security and scoping work rather than features. The latest LTS rebuilds the api and frontend Docker images as multi-stage builds on Debian 13 with Node 24 so compilers and build tooling no longer ship, overrides fourteen vulnerable transitive dependencies, and replaces the unmaintained v8-sandbox behind custom code with isolated-vm. Earlier releases scoped internal event hooks to their own apps, fixed the consents table returning fields beyond the consent columns, and stopped dashboard widgets being copied by users without access to the referenced apps.
The pattern across these releases is closing the gaps where a customer-supplied artefact — custom hook code, a copied widget, a projection on a request — could reach further than intended. That work is now touching the runtime itself, and the isolated-vm swap is a breaking change: custom code relying on setTimeout, setInterval or async completion fails with a logged error instead of running. The journey engine is the only place shipping genuinely new capability, and it is enterprise-only.
Expect follow-up releases to soften the custom-code migration, since the isolated-vm switch silently breaks any hook that awaited a timer, and further ab-testing work now that pystan has been replaced with compiled Stan executables.
modelbased computes marginal means, contrasts, and slopes from fitted models, and it ships every one to two months with a consistent shape: new comparison types, broader model support, and steady renaming toward clearer vocabulary. The recent arc runs from marginal effects inequality measures through inequality ratios to an omnibus global test and a post_process argument for multi-step comparisons. Argument names have been settled along the way, with trend becoming slope and an alias left behind.
The package is building a compositional vocabulary rather than a fixed menu — contrasts of average slopes, contrasts across two numeric predictors, inequality summaries across all outcome categories, and now user-supplied post-processing of comparisons. Support quietly widens underneath, covering nestedLogit, brms finite mixtures, and offsets under population and average estimation. Plotting gets attention in proportion to how often these results are presented rather than tabulated, including collapse_by_group() for showing averaged raw data under mixed-model fits.
With post_process and omnibus tests both landed, the likely next step is making these composed comparisons easier to report — formatting or plotting methods for the multi-step results rather than new comparison types.
Other Analytics products tracked by Sparkpulse, ranked by recent ship velocity. Each card links to a full editorial trajectory and lets you pivot into a head-to-head comparison with either Countly or modelbased.
mlr3proba is shedding weight as its survival work moves into sibling packages
mlr3viz keeps the ecosystem's plots working while the plots themselves move out
mlr3tuning is rebuilding its async machinery under a stable public surface
timetk swallowed anomalize whole, then went quiet for two years
easystats' parameters package absorbs one more model class every few weeks
A finished Bayesian model-comparison package in pure maintenance mode
See all Countly alternatives → · See all modelbased alternatives →
Latest ship moves from both products, interleaved chronologically. ⚡ = editorial spark.
They serve adjacent needs but don't currently overlap on shipped themes. Countly is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 5.0 vs 0.0), with 0 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. See the at-a-glance table above for a side-by-side breakdown of velocity, recent sparks, and editorial themes.
Sparkpulse doesn't pick a winner — we score release velocity, not feature parity. Countly is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 5.0 vs 0.0), with 0 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. For your specific use case, the alternatives sections above list other Analytics products to evaluate alongside.
Top Countly alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "Countly alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/countly for the full list with editorial commentary on each.
Top modelbased alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "modelbased alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/modelbased for the full list with editorial commentary on each.