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Comparison · Analytics
cfrnow vs modeltime.resample
A side-by-side editorial comparison of cfrnow and modeltime.resample — release velocity, themes, recent moves, and the top alternatives to consider.
cfrnow vs modeltime.resample: at a glance
What is cfrnow?
A Bayesian real-time CFR estimator that now ships stratified fits and posterior-predictive checks
cfrnow estimates case fatality ratios from line-list data while an outbreak is still running, using a Bayesian mixture-cure survival model registered as an `epidist` model type. Three releases in a month took it from first public release to stratified, partially-pooled fits with posterior-predictive checking. It leans on `distspec` for delay parameterisation, which reached CRAN alongside the 0.2.1 patch.
What is modeltime.resample?
modeltime.resample exists to keep backtesting working as tidymodels shifts underneath it.
modeltime.resample runs time series cross-validation over modeltime models, returning per-resample predictions and accuracy plots. Version 0.3.0 is the substantive release in view: tune 2.0.0 compatibility, deterministic seeding via withr, guaranteed .predictions output, and clearer failures when resample fits break. The three releases before it are dependency chores.
cfrnow vs modeltime.resample: editorial side-by-side
cfrnow
5.0ANALYTICS
A Bayesian real-time CFR estimator that now ships stratified fits and posterior-predictive checks
◆ Current state
cfrnow estimates case fatality ratios from line-list data while an outbreak is still running, using a Bayesian mixture-cure survival model registered as an `epidist` model type. Three releases in a month took it from first public release to stratified, partially-pooled fits with posterior-predictive checking. It leans on `distspec` for delay parameterisation, which reached CRAN alongside the 0.2.1 patch.
◆ Where it's heading
The arc runs from producing a single corrected CFR number toward supporting a full model-checking workflow. 0.2.0 added the pieces a modeller needs to defend an estimate: replicate line lists replayed through the real-time truncation, an ascertainment-ratio correction for when fatal and non-fatal cases enter the line list at different rates, and per-group CFRs from `brms` formulas. Delay coverage widened from LogNormal and Gamma to Weibull in the same release.
◆ Prediction
Expect the next release to keep widening covariate and pooling support rather than adding new outcome types, since every 0.2.0 addition extended the existing formula interface instead of replacing it.
modeltime.resample
0.0ANALYTICS
modeltime.resample exists to keep backtesting working as tidymodels shifts underneath it.
◆ Current state
modeltime.resample runs time series cross-validation over modeltime models, returning per-resample predictions and accuracy plots. Version 0.3.0 is the substantive release in view: tune 2.0.0 compatibility, deterministic seeding via withr, guaranteed .predictions output, and clearer failures when resample fits break. The three releases before it are dependency chores.
◆ Where it's heading
Every entry here is compatibility work against something upstream — hardhat 1.0.0, workflows regression mode, then tune 2.0.0 twice. The 0.3.0 notes show a second concern emerging alongside it: making failures legible, with .notes on failed fits, actionable errors from unnest_modeltime_resamples(), and fallback logic when prediction columns go missing across versions. Reproducibility gets the same treatment through explicit seeding.
◆ Prediction
Expect the next release to track the next tidymodels breaking change, with any new work continuing on error reporting rather than resampling strategies.
Alternatives to cfrnow and modeltime.resample
Other Analytics products tracked by Sparkpulse, ranked by recent ship velocity. Each card links to a full editorial trajectory and lets you pivot into a head-to-head comparison with either cfrnow or modeltime.resample.
kernelshap
kernelshap makes permutation SHAP practical past eight features, then fixes the kernel weights it had wrong.
filtro
filtro moves to S7 and multiplies its feature-scoring methods in a single release.
modeltime.ensemble
modeltime.ensemble wakes after four years, and the work is all tune 2.0 compatibility.
shapviz
shapviz refines its SHAP plots release by release while chasing ggplot2's moving target.
hstats
hstats settled into maintenance after its 1.0 restructuring, with model coverage the only thing still growing.
See all cfrnow alternatives → · See all modeltime.resample alternatives →
Recent activity from cfrnow and modeltime.resample
Latest ship moves from both products, interleaved chronologically. ⚡ = editorial spark.
- 5d agocfrnowdistspec dependency moves to CRAN
- 5d agocfrnowStratified CFR fits, Weibull delays, posterior-predictive checks
- 1mo agocfrnowFirst release: real-time CFR from a Bayesian mixture-cure model ⚡
- 11mo agomodeltime.resampletune 2.0 support, deterministic seeding, clearer errors
- 11mo agomodeltime.resampleDependency cleanup ahead of the next tune release
- 3y agomodeltime.resampleFixes workflows in regression mode
- 4y agomodeltime.resampleUpdates for hardhat 1.0.0
Frequently asked questions
What is the difference between cfrnow and modeltime.resample?
They serve adjacent needs but don't currently overlap on shipped themes. cfrnow is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 5.0 vs 0.0), with 0 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. See the at-a-glance table above for a side-by-side breakdown of velocity, recent sparks, and editorial themes.
Is cfrnow better than modeltime.resample?
Sparkpulse doesn't pick a winner — we score release velocity, not feature parity. cfrnow is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 5.0 vs 0.0), with 0 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. For your specific use case, the alternatives sections above list other Analytics products to evaluate alongside.
What are the best alternatives to cfrnow?
Top cfrnow alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "cfrnow alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/cfrnow for the full list with editorial commentary on each.
What are the best alternatives to modeltime.resample?
Top modeltime.resample alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "modeltime.resample alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/modeltime-resample for the full list with editorial commentary on each.