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aedseo vs cfrnow

A side-by-side editorial comparison of aedseo and cfrnow — release velocity, themes, recent moves, and the top alternatives to consider.

Shared themes:epidemiologyr-package

aedseo vs cfrnow: at a glance

Featureaedseocfrnow
SectorAnalyticsAnalytics
Velocity score0.05.0
Sparks · 30d00
Top themesepidemiology, time-series, surveillance, r-packageepidemiology, bayesian-modelling, cfr-estimation, r-package
Last editorial update54m ago8h ago
WebsiteVisit →Visit →

What is aedseo?

An epidemic-onset detector that now brackets the whole season, not just its start

aedseo is a Statens Serum Institut R package for automated early detection of seasonal epidemic onsets, built around growth-rate estimation over consecutive time intervals. The 1.0.0 line moved it well past its original scope: observations are now modelled as cases or population-adjusted incidence, multiple waves can be estimated in one pass, and disease-specific thresholds are computed by a dedicated function. Version 1.1.0 adds an estimate of when a season has ended after the first onset.

Read the full aedseo trajectory →

What is cfrnow?

A Bayesian real-time CFR estimator that now ships stratified fits and posterior-predictive checks

cfrnow estimates case fatality ratios from line-list data while an outbreak is still running, using a Bayesian mixture-cure survival model registered as an `epidist` model type. Three releases in a month took it from first public release to stratified, partially-pooled fits with posterior-predictive checking. It leans on `distspec` for delay parameterisation, which reached CRAN alongside the 0.2.1 patch.

Read the full cfrnow trajectory →

aedseo vs cfrnow: editorial side-by-side

A
aedseo
ANALYTICS
0.0

An epidemic-onset detector that now brackets the whole season, not just its start

◆ Current state

aedseo is a Statens Serum Institut R package for automated early detection of seasonal epidemic onsets, built around growth-rate estimation over consecutive time intervals. The 1.0.0 line moved it well past its original scope: observations are now modelled as cases or population-adjusted incidence, multiple waves can be estimated in one pass, and disease-specific thresholds are computed by a dedicated function. Version 1.1.0 adds an estimate of when a season has ended after the first onset.

◆ Where it's heading

The arc runs from a single-purpose onset detector toward a full seasonal-surveillance toolkit. Each release since 1.0.0 has widened what the package can say about a season rather than improving how it says it: incidence denominators, background population, multi-wave detection, thresholds, and now season end. Fixes in between are narrow and numerical, such as confidence intervals under ATLAS BLAS.

◆ Prediction

The natural next step is symmetry with the onset machinery the package already has: turning the 1.1.0 seasonal offset into a first-class output alongside onset, with its own summary and plotting methods.

C
cfrnow
ANALYTICS
5.0

A Bayesian real-time CFR estimator that now ships stratified fits and posterior-predictive checks

◆ Current state

cfrnow estimates case fatality ratios from line-list data while an outbreak is still running, using a Bayesian mixture-cure survival model registered as an `epidist` model type. Three releases in a month took it from first public release to stratified, partially-pooled fits with posterior-predictive checking. It leans on `distspec` for delay parameterisation, which reached CRAN alongside the 0.2.1 patch.

◆ Where it's heading

The arc runs from producing a single corrected CFR number toward supporting a full model-checking workflow. 0.2.0 added the pieces a modeller needs to defend an estimate: replicate line lists replayed through the real-time truncation, an ascertainment-ratio correction for when fatal and non-fatal cases enter the line list at different rates, and per-group CFRs from `brms` formulas. Delay coverage widened from LogNormal and Gamma to Weibull in the same release.

◆ Prediction

Expect the next release to keep widening covariate and pooling support rather than adding new outcome types, since every 0.2.0 addition extended the existing formula interface instead of replacing it.

Alternatives to aedseo and cfrnow

Other Analytics products tracked by Sparkpulse, ranked by recent ship velocity. Each card links to a full editorial trajectory and lets you pivot into a head-to-head comparison with either aedseo or cfrnow.

See all aedseo alternatives → · See all cfrnow alternatives →

Recent activity from aedseo and cfrnow

Latest ship moves from both products, interleaved chronologically. ⚡ = editorial spark.

  1. 5d agocfrnowdistspec dependency moves to CRAN
  2. 6d agocfrnowStratified CFR fits, Weibull delays, posterior-predictive checks
  3. 1mo agocfrnowFirst release: real-time CFR from a Bayesian mixture-cure model
  4. 6mo agoaedseocombined_seasonal_output() now estimates when a season ends
  5. 8mo agoaedseoFix growth-rate confidence intervals under ATLAS BLAS
  6. 9mo agoaedseoIncidence, population adjustment and multi-wave detection land in 1.0.0
  7. 2y agoaedseoMaintainership transferred to Lasse Engbo Christiansen
  8. 2y agoaedseoepi_calendar() and richer autoplot displays
  9. 2y agoaedseoFirst CRAN release of the aeddo onset detector

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between aedseo and cfrnow?

Both compete on the same themes — epidemiology, r-package — within Analytics. cfrnow is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 5.0 vs 0.0), with 0 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. See the at-a-glance table above for a side-by-side breakdown of velocity, recent sparks, and editorial themes.

Is aedseo better than cfrnow?

Sparkpulse doesn't pick a winner — we score release velocity, not feature parity. cfrnow is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 5.0 vs 0.0), with 0 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. For your specific use case, the alternatives sections above list other Analytics products to evaluate alongside.

What are the best alternatives to aedseo?

Top aedseo alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "aedseo alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/aedseo-r for the full list with editorial commentary on each.

What are the best alternatives to cfrnow?

Top cfrnow alternatives in Analytics are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "cfrnow alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/cfrnow for the full list with editorial commentary on each.